Talk:Tentacle Spike/@comment-83.238.225.153-20171104152842/@comment-2601:245:C000:5B40:E55E:94F0:A8E7:FDA6-20171110011112

You DO know that "probability" is an AVERAGE right? And that each subsequent event added to the equation changes the probability of concurrent favorable results? I mean, you have a perfect 50% chance to get heads when flipping a coin, but if you go flip a coin 10 times right now I guarantee you that you won't get heads precisely 5 times; this is because each additional flip is stacked into the same equation. (i.e. 1/2 = 50% chance for the first spike to drop, then a 2nd tentacle means 50% x 50% = 25%. A 3rd tentacle = 50% x 50% x 50% = 12.5% etc..etc...  For 18 Tentacles you have a staggering 262,144 possible outcomes (you could get - Spike, No Spike, Spike, Spike, No Spike etc... or any other of 262,143 other combinations of spike and no spike)

That's a total chance of 0.00038% to get 9 out of 18 possible spikes...